Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.