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Australian A-League | Gameweek 28
Jul 30, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
PG

Adelaide United
5 - 3
Perth Glory

Jakobsen (27'), Brook (29'), Fardal Opseth (38'), Halloran (45'), Niyongabire (63')
Halloran (42'), D'Arrigo (77'), Mauk (90+2')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Popovic (33'), Fornaroli (74'), Juande (83' pen.)
Meredith (9')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Perth Glory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawPerth Glory
37.26%25.41%37.33%
Both teams to score 56.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47%47.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26%69.74%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02%24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37%59.63%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42%59.58%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 37.26%
    Perth Glory 37.33%
    Draw 25.41%
Adelaide UnitedDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.26%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 0.97%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.33%


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