Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.