SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Faisaly win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Faisaly win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Al-Sadd win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Faisaly would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Faisaly | Draw | Al-Sadd |
57.68% ( 6) | 21.27% ( -1.63) | 21.05% ( -4.37) |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.44% ( 2.64) | 38.55% ( -2.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.14% ( 2.73) | 60.85% ( -2.74) |
| Al-Faisaly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.81% ( 2.85) | 13.18% ( -2.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.1% ( 5.49) | 39.9% ( -5.49) |
| Al-Sadd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -2.25) | 31.76% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( -2.65) | 68.18% ( 2.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Faisaly | Draw | Al-Sadd |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.67)1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.76)3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.97)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.67)4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.73)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.38)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.38)Other @ 3.66% Total : 57.68% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.84) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.55)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.87) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.97)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.77)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.49)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.38)Other @ 2.57% Total : 21.05% |
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