Al Gharafa
2 - 0
Ahal

C (60'), Alaaeldin (87')
Surag (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Geldiyew (72'), Mammedov (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Gharafa and Ahal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

Last Game: Ahal 4-2 Al Gharafa
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

Ahal

Last Game: Ahal 4-2 Al Gharafa
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Ahal had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Ahal win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.

Result
Al Gharafa	Draw	Ahal
47.8%	24.41%	27.79%

Both teams to score 56.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.87%

46.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.57%

68.43%

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.61%

19.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.81%

51.19%

Ahal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69%

30.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5%

66.49%

Score Analysis

Al Gharafa 47.8%

Ahal 27.79%

Draw 24.4%

Al Gharafa	Draw	Ahal
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.8%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 7.01% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.79%