AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
FT(HT: 0-0)
Geldiyew (72'), Mammedov (89')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Gharafa and Ahal.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Ahal had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Ahal win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Ahal |
| 47.8% | 24.41% | 27.79% |
| Both teams to score 56.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
Al Gharafa 47.8%
Ahal 27.79%
Draw 24.4%
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Ahal |
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.8%
| 1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.4%
| 0-1 @ 7.01%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 27.79%
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