SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Pohang Steelers had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Pohang Steelers win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Pohang Steelers |
| 41.53% | 24.52% | 33.95% |
| Both teams to score 59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% | 43.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% | 66.23% |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% | 21.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.93% | 54.07% |
| Pohang Steelers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% | 25.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.16% | 59.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Pohang Steelers |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.95% |
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