Istiqlol Dushanbe
4 - 1
Al-Hilal

Dzhalilov (39', 44'), Safarov (49', 53')
Dzhuraev (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gomis (24')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Hilal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol Dushanbe	Draw	Al-Hilal
33.87%	27.51%	38.62%

Both teams to score 49.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.46%

56.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47%

77.53%

Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62%

31.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25%

67.75%

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56%

28.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.8%

64.2%

Score Analysis

Istiqlol Dushanbe 33.87%

Al-Hilal 38.62%

Draw 27.5%

Istiqlol Dushanbe	Draw	Al-Hilal
1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.87%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.62%