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AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Oct 17, 2021 at 6am UK
Pohang Steel Yard

Pohang Steelers
3 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Sang-hyub (53', 90+5'), Lee (70')
Sin (35'), Go (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Pohang Steelers and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pohang Steelers win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pohang Steelers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pohang Steelers would win this match.

Result
Pohang SteelersDrawNagoya Grampus
41.48%26.62%31.89%
Both teams to score 51.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49%53.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97%75.03%
Pohang Steelers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72%60.28%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83%31.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49%67.51%
Score Analysis
    Pohang Steelers 41.48%
    Nagoya Grampus 31.89%
    Draw 26.62%
Pohang SteelersDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.89%

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