Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pohang Steelers win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pohang Steelers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pohang Steelers would win this match.