Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win with a probability of 42.47%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Tractor Sazi had a probability of 28.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Tractor Sazi win it was 0-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
