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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Leo Stadium

Pathum Utd
0 - 2
Ulsan


Thongkiri (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kim (31'), Qazaishvili (87')
Kim (14'), Bulthuis (28'), Kim (33')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between BG Pathum United and Ulsan Hyundai.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
BG Pathum UnitedDrawUlsan Hyundai
36.15%23.45%40.4%
Both teams to score 63.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74%38.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47%60.53%
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68%54.32%
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66%19.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.89%51.1%
Score Analysis
    BG Pathum United 36.15%
    Ulsan Hyundai 40.4%
    Draw 23.44%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawUlsan Hyundai
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 6.37%
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.15%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 4.72%
2-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 40.4%

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