SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Daegu had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Daegu win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Daegu |
| 45.37% | 23.73% | 30.9% |
| Both teams to score 60.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.75% | 41.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% | 63.64% |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% | 18.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.38% | 49.61% |
| Daegu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% | 25.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.35% | 60.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Daegu |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.54% Total : 45.37% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.9% |
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