Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Daegu win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Daegu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Daegu would win this match.