Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.