Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 72.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for FC Seoul had a probability of 10.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a FC Seoul win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.