Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Seoul had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a FC Seoul win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.