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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2020 at 10am UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium

FC Seoul
1 - 2
Beijing Guoan

Chu-Young (65' pen.)
Kim (36'), Osmar (53'), Lee (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernando (8'), Carvalho (60')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between FC Seoul and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Seoul had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a FC Seoul win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
FC SeoulDrawBeijing Guoan
18.75%22.02%59.23%
Both teams to score 52.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69%45.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35%67.65%
FC Seoul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62%38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23%74.77%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07%14.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68%43.32%
Score Analysis
    FC Seoul 18.75%
    Beijing Guoan 59.23%
    Draw 22.02%
FC SeoulDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 5.49%
2-1 @ 5.05%
2-0 @ 2.66%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 18.75%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 5.67%
2-2 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 10.79%
0-2 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 6.29%
0-4 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 2.99%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-5 @ 1.18%
1-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 59.23%


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