Beijing Guoan
3 - 1
Victory

Augusto (22'), Carvalho (34'), Ziming (74')
Yennaris (44'), Zhongguo (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Iannucci (78')
McManaman (28')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Beijing Guoan and Melbourne Victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Melbourne Victory
60.43%	22.15%	17.42%

Both teams to score 49.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09%

47.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91%

70.09%

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58%

15.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.76%

44.24%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93%

41.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38%

77.61%

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 60.42%

Melbourne Victory 17.42%

Draw 22.14%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.26% Total : 60.42%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.14%	0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 4.69% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.42%