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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Chang Arena

Cerezo
2 - 1
Kitchee

Taggart (69'), Tiago (71')
Tiago (9'), Okubo (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Damjanovic (38')
Huang (29'), Cesar (43'), Cancela (77')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kitchee.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kitchee had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Kitchee win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawKitchee
54.99%22.98%22.03%
Both teams to score 54.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86%45.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52%67.48%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71%16.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.15%45.85%
Kitchee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71%71.29%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 54.98%
    Kitchee 22.03%
    Draw 22.98%
Cerezo OsakaDrawKitchee
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.27%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 5.61%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.54%
4-2 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 54.98%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.63%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 5.98%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.03%

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