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J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 8, 2021 at 7am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Cerezo

Yoshida (66')
Yonemoto (70'), Kakitani (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Takagi (59')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
42.34%27.29%30.36%
Both teams to score 48.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43%56.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45%77.55%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.55%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16%33.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5%70.5%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 42.34%
    Cerezo Osaka 30.36%
    Draw 27.29%
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.89%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.34%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.36%

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