Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
