Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
