Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chiangrai United win with a probability of 43%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chiangrai United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.