Esteghlal
3 - 0
Al-Ahli

Ghaedi (29'), Karimi (38'), Diabate (54')
Milic (30')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abdul Ghani (49')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Esteghlal and Al-Ahli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esteghlal would win this match.

Result
Esteghlal	Draw	Al-Ahli
37.76%	28.36%	33.88%

Both teams to score 46.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.33%

59.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.02%

79.98%

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52%

30.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31%

66.69%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03%

32.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45%

69.55%

Score Analysis

Esteghlal 37.75%

Al-Ahli 33.88%

Draw 28.34%

Esteghlal	Draw	Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.75%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.88%