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Chinese Super League playoffs | Quarter-finals
Oct 22, 2020 at 12.35pm UK
Workers Stadium

Beijing Guoan
2 - 1
Shandong

Zhang (19', 75')
Yang (82'), Bakambu (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moises (15')
Jin (23'), (79'), Junshuai (82')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Quarter-finals clash between Beijing Guoan and Shandong Taishan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for Shandong Luneng Taishan had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawShandong Taishan
51.83%23.5%24.67%
Both teams to score 56.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33%67%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76%17.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44%47.56%
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58%68.42%
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 51.83%
    Shandong Taishan 24.67%
    Draw 23.5%
Beijing GuoanDrawShandong Taishan
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 5.69%
3-0 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.83%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-1 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.67%


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