Shandong
2 - 2
Beijing Guoan

Pelle (25' pen.), Jin (37')
Fellaini (45+3'), Jin (56'), Kadar (71'), Huang (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bakambu (48' pen., 69')
Viera (25')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Quarter-finals clash between Shandong Taishan and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Shandong Luneng Taishan had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Beijing Guoan
30.88%	23.8%	45.31%

Both teams to score 60.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.38%

41.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97%

64.02%

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07%

25.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.08%

60.92%

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38%

18.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09%

49.91%

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 30.88%

Beijing Guoan 45.31%

Draw 23.8%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 7.39% 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 5.16% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.47% Total : 45.31%