Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Persepolis win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Persepolis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Persepolis would win this match.