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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Persepolis
4 - 2
Al-Rayyan

Moghanlou (27'), Pahlevan (33'), Kanani (68'), Alekasir (73')
Moghanlou (12'), Kanani (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boli (48', 72')
Awad (41'), Khalilzadeh (52'), Kom (79')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Persepolis and Al-Rayyan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Persepolis win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Persepolis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Persepolis would win this match.

Result
PersepolisDrawAl-Rayyan
53.69%22.93%23.38%
Both teams to score 56.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.62%43.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22%65.77%
Persepolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88%16.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47%45.53%
Al-Rayyan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11%68.89%
Score Analysis
    Persepolis 53.69%
    Al-Rayyan 23.38%
    Draw 22.93%
PersepolisDrawAl-Rayyan
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-0 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 53.69%
1-1 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-1 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 23.38%

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