Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.