Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.