Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tractor Sazi win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tractor Sazi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tractor Sazi in this match.