Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viettel win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viettel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Kaya win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viettel would win this match.