Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.