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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Friends Arena, Solna, Stockholm

AIK
1 - 0
Elfsborg

Larsson (49' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gojani (16'), Ndione (44')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between AIK Fotboll and Elfsborg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AIK Fotboll in this match.

Result
AIK FotbollDrawElfsborg
36.81%27.8%35.39%
Both teams to score 48.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51%57.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71%78.29%
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9%66.1%
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13%30.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85%67.16%
Score Analysis
    AIK Fotboll 36.81%
    Elfsborg 35.38%
    Draw 27.79%
AIK FotbollDrawElfsborg
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 35.38%

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