Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.