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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 2
Apr 19, 2021 at 6pm UK
Paskbergsvallen

Varbergs
1 - 3
Elfsborg

Karlsson Adjei (68')
Simovic (35'), Le Roux (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lamine Jarjue (7'), Ndione (34', 86')
Okumu (43'), Romer (45'), Ndione (64'), Holmen (70'), Ronning (74')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Elfsborg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawElfsborg
29.92%25.6%44.48%
Both teams to score 53.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92%50.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95%72.05%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99%56.01%
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 29.92%
    Elfsborg 44.48%
    Draw 25.6%
Varbergs BoISDrawElfsborg
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.92%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.72%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 44.48%

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