Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halmstads BK win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halmstads BK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.