Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kalmar in this match.
