Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
