Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Orebro win was 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Degerfors would win this match.