SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Djurgardens IF | 17 | 24 | 34 |
| 2 | Hacken | 16 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 16 | 6 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Malmo | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Kalmar | 17 | 5 | 27 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 17 | 3 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Kalmar |
56.6% ( -0.41) | 22.66% ( -0.27) | 20.73% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( 1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.66% ( 2.05) | 45.34% ( -2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.32% ( 1.93) | 67.67% ( -1.93) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 0.58) | 15.81% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( 1.05) | 44.97% ( -1.05) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( 1.87) | 35.93% ( -1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( 1.87) | 72.71% ( -1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.73) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 56.6% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.73% |
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