SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Djurgardens IF | 14 | 18 | 27 |
| 2 | Hacken | 12 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 13 | 5 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Varbergs BoIS | 13 | -11 | 14 |
| 13 | Varnamo | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 13 | -17 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Varnamo |
66.05% ( -0.14) | 19.71% ( 0.17) | 14.23% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( -0.85) | 43.35% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( -0.84) | 65.75% ( 0.83) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( -0.29) | 12.26% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62% ( -0.61) | 38% ( 0.6) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( -0.58) | 42.49% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.14% ( -0.5) | 78.86% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.35% Total : 66.04% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.71% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.52% Total : 14.23% |
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