SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Mjallby AIF | 15 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Kalmar | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | IFK Goteborg | 14 | 1 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Sirius | 15 | -5 | 21 |
| 10 | Elfsborg | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping | 14 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
44.95% ( 5.48) | 26.12% ( -0.79) | 28.93% ( -4.69) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.35% ( 1.58) | 52.65% ( -1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% ( 1.34) | 74.3% ( -1.34) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 3.52) | 23.34% ( -3.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( 4.87) | 57.31% ( -4.87) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( -2.48) | 32.85% ( 2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( -2.85) | 69.42% ( 2.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.64)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 1.07)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.7)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.85)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.42)Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -1.19) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.7)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -1.04)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.46)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.54)Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.93% |
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