Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.