Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.