Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
