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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 23
Oct 4, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Gamla Ullevi

Goteborg
1 - 0
Varbergs

Erlingmark (39')
Calisir (47'), Yusuf (53'), Sana (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Birkfeldt (27'), Seljmani (52'), Mensah (78')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Goteborg and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for IFK Goteborg in this match.

Result
IFK GoteborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
40.6%26.32%33.08%
Both teams to score 52.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03%51.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29%73.71%
IFK Goteborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78%25.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04%59.96%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39%29.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36%65.64%
Score Analysis
    IFK Goteborg 40.59%
    Varbergs BoIS 33.08%
    Draw 26.31%
IFK GoteborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.08%


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