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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 22
Sep 28, 2020 at 6pm UK
Guldfågeln Arena

Kalmar
1 - 1
Varbergs

Magnusson (48')
Bergqvist (20'), Romarinho (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Birkfeldt (66')
Book (28'), Sadiku (90'), Lindner (90+4')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
KalmarDrawVarbergs BoIS
39.06%25.92%35.02%
Both teams to score 54.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05%49.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06%71.94%
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88%25.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18%59.82%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59%27.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12%62.88%
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 39.06%
    Varbergs BoIS 35.02%
    Draw 25.92%
KalmarDrawVarbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 39.06%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.02%


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