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M
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 5
Jul 1, 2020 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
1 - 0
Djurgarden

FT(HT: 1-0)

Berg (29'), Augustinsson (45'), Karlstrom (64')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Djurgardens IF.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.

Result
MalmoDrawDjurgardens IF
48.77%24.96%26.26%
Both teams to score 53.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42%49.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4%71.6%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65%20.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25%52.75%
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69%33.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07%69.93%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 48.77%
    Djurgardens IF 26.26%
    Draw 24.96%
MalmoDrawDjurgardens IF
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.26%


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