Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.