SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 82.53%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 5.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Halmstads BK win it was 0-1 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Halmstads BK |
82.53% ( 0.08) | 11.65% ( -0.03) | 5.82% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0.08) | 31.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.34% ( -0.09) | 52.66% ( 0.09) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.41% ( 0) | 5.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.29% | 21.71% ( 0) |
| Halmstads BK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.45% ( -0.21) | 51.55% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.29% ( -0.14) | 85.71% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Halmstads BK |
| 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 82.52% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.65% | 0-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.82% |
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