SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
71.89% ( 0) | 16.92% | 11.19% |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.99% ( -0) | 38.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.73% ( -0) | 60.27% ( 0) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( 0) | 9.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.62% | 31.38% ( 0) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.11% ( -0.01) | 43.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.97% ( -0) | 80.03% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-0 @ 11.51% 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 9.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.51% 4-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.07% Total : 71.89% | 1-1 @ 7.98% 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.96% Total : 16.93% | 0-1 @ 3.36% 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.07% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.19% |
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