SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 75.14%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 9.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.15%) and 1-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Halmstads BK win it was 0-1 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Halmstads BK |
75.14% ( -1.5) | 15.68% ( 0.54) | 9.18% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( 2.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0.76) | 38.32% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.4% ( 0.81) | 60.6% ( -0.8) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.37% ( -0.16) | 8.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.24% ( -0.38) | 29.76% ( 0.38) |
| Halmstads BK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.99% ( 2.68) | 48% ( -2.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.76% ( 1.89) | 83.23% ( -1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Halmstads BK |
| 2-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.61)1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.45)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.25)5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.14)6-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 75.13% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.33)Other @ 0.75% Total : 15.68% | 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.29% Total : 9.18% |
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