SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Varnamo |
45.51% ( -0.13) | 25.05% ( 0.02) | 29.44% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.02% ( -0.02) | 47.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( -0.02) | 70.15% ( 0.02) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -0.07) | 21.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( -0.1) | 53.94% ( 0.1) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( 0.06) | 30.07% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( 0.08) | 66.2% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 29.44% |
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