SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Kalmar |
39.3% ( -0.03) | 26.02% ( 0.04) | 34.67% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( -0.19) | 50.42% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( -0.16) | 72.36% ( 0.16) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.1) | 25.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( -0.14) | 59.93% ( 0.14) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.1) | 27.84% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.55% ( -0.12) | 63.44% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.67% |
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