SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Sirius win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Sirius |
54.43% ( 1.09) | 23.79% ( -0.04) | 21.78% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.15% ( -0.97) | 48.85% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( -0.88) | 70.94% ( 0.88) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( 0.05) | 17.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( 0.08) | 48.58% ( -0.08) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% ( -1.54) | 36.89% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.32% ( -1.57) | 73.68% ( 1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Sirius |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.41)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.78% |
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